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The National Weather Service has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of the region, effective until 9:00pm. Weak rotation was already confirmed in a storm cell near Binghamton early this afternoon.
Scattered, damaging wind gusts up to 65 mph and isolated large hail events up to 1.5″ in diameter are possible.
The Storm Prediction Center in Oklahoma, which is the lead government agency tasked with tracking major storm outbreaks across the nation, is closely monitoring the situation. They have issued the watch for Orange, Sullivan, Ulster, Greene, Columbia, Dutchess, Putnam, Westchester, and Rockland Counties., Ulster, Columbia and Greene Counties.
Storms are expected to increase this afternoon, accompanied by a risk of locally damaging wind gusts and isolated hail. Continued daytime heating will cause destabilization of the atmosphere, especially later this afternoon. In addition, wind shear will be created aloft from a westerly air flow. An approaching cold front will trigger the storms in a destabilized atmosphere.
As storm coverage increases this afternoon, a few organized clusters may develop. Some of these may become supercells, says the SPC, with a risk of locally damaging wind gusts and isolated hail.
Stay tuned for urgent updates.
