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The Hudson Valley is at risk of seeing a few tornadoes tomorrow, according to several meteorologists from the National Weather Service.
A variety of conditions are expected to come together tomorrow and cause destabilization of the atmosphere. High moisture and wind shear aloft are both expected to be in place as storms develop during the afternoon time.
“It is possible that this could include a couple of supercells with a risk for tornadoes, particularly across the Poconos and Catskills into the Hudson Valley vicinity by late Monday afternoon,” said Bryan Kerr, a mesoscale forecaster for the Storm Prediction Center in Oklahoma. The agency is a branch of the National Weather Service and tracks severe thunderstorm outbreaks across the country.
The National Weather Service office in Upton, NY, which covers Orange County, further explains, “The primary hazard would be strong and potentially damaging winds along with heavy rain. Precipitable water will be up around two inches along with the potential for some training of storms.”
The National Weather Service office in Albany, NY, which mostly covers areas north of Interstate 84, has already placed their area under a Hazardous Weather Outlook for tomorrow. “The main threats would be damaging wind gusts and an isolated tornado,” the statement reads. “Some of the storms could produce prolonged or repeated downpours, which could lead to localized flooding of urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas.”
The Weather Prediction Center, another branch of the National Weather Service, has placed the area under a marginal risk for excessive rainfall associated with the thunderstorms. If their forecast comes true, it could provide much needed relief as Orange County has now entered a drought (story here).
An F1 tornado was confirmed near Kingston on Wednesday (story here) and produced 90 mph winds.
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